numbers, not adjectives — D. J. C. MacKay
10 Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) per capita
| Region | Population (millions) | NDC 2.0 (tCO2e/cap) | paraphrased NDC text (estimates from outside NDC) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran | 90.6 | not party to the Paris Agreement | |
| Iraq | 45.1 | no clear CO2e target | |
| Egypt | 114.5 | no clear CO2e target | |
| China | 1422.6 | 18.1 | reduce emissions intensity of GDP by 65 percent by 2030, from 2005 (2005 GDP $2.286tn, CO2e 7211 Mt; est 2030 GDP: $17.758tn in 2023 + 4% pa growth) |
| UAE | 10.6 | 17.2 | 19% reduction, base 2019: 2030 target CO2e 182 Mt |
| Australia | 21.8 | 16.2 | 43% below 2005: net CO2e 621.1 Mt |
| Russia | 145.4 | 15.0 | reduction to 70% of 1990: CO2e 3100 Mt |
| Saudi Arabia | 32.3 | 13.7 | 278 MtCO2e reduction from 2019 (2019 CO2e 721 Mt) |
| Canada | 39.3 | 11.1 | CO2e 438 Mt |
| US | 343.5 | 9.6 | 50% below 2005 (2005 net CO2e 6587 Mt) |
| South Korea | 51.7 | 8.4 | 40% reduction from 2018, CO2e 728 Mt |
| Turkey | 87.3 | 8.0 | CO2e 695 Mt |
| Vietnam | 100.4 | 7.8 | unconditional 15.8% reduction from BAU CO2e 927.9 Mt |
| Argentina | 45.5 | 7.7 | CO2e 349 Mt |
| South Africa | 63.2 | 6.6 | upper limit CO2e 420 Mt |
| Japan | 124.4 | 6.1 | CO2e 760 Mt |
| EU | 447.6 | 5.7 | 55% below 1990 (1990 CO2e 5650.4 Mt) |
| Pakistan | 247.5 | 5.5 | 15% unconditional reduction from BAU CO2e 1603 Mt |
| Brazil | 221.1 | 5.4 | CO2e 1200 Mt |
| Thailand | 71.7 | 5.4 | 30% below BAU CO2e 555 Mt |
| Mexico | 129.7 | 5.0 | 35% reduction from 991 MtCO2e baseline |
| Azerbaijan | 10.3 | 5.0 | 35% reduction base 1990 CO2e 79 Mt |
| India | 1438.1 | 4.4 | reduce emissions intensity of GDP by 45 percent by 2030, from 2005 (2005 GDP $820bn, CO2e 1585.5 Mt; est 2030 GDP $7.3tn) |
| Indonesia | 281.2 | 4.4 | CO2e 1240 Mt |
| UK | 68.7 | 3.8 | 68% below 1990 (1990 CO2e 812 Mt) |
| Malaysia | 35.1 | 2.9 | 45% reduction of GDP intensity by 2030 from 2005 (2005 GDP $143.5bn, CO2e 44.2 Mt; est 2030 GDP $492.9bn in 2025 + 4% pa growth) |
| Ethiopia | 128.7 | 2.7 | unconditional 14% reduction of BAU CO2e 403.5 Mt |
| Bangladesh | 171.5 | 2.2 | CO2e 27.56 Mt reduction from BAU CO2e 409.41 Mt |
| Nigeria | 227.9 | 1.6 | unconditional 20% reduction of BAU CO2e 453 Mt |